Xie Full View Integrated Technical Analysis

A Systematic Approach to Active Stock Market Investing
1. Auflage 2010
ISBN: 978-0-470-82677-5
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch, 288 Seiten, E-Book

Reihe: Wiley Trading Series

A fresh approach to technical analysis utilizing a full view(multi-time frame) integrated analytical system.
Has the bear market ended? Is the rebound lasting? Everybodywants an answer but nobody can provide one with a good degree ofconfidence. While fundamental analysis is notoriously weak when itcomes to market timing decisions and price target forecasts,technical analysis is equally timid in providing any concreteanswers to the above fundamentally important questions for marketparticipants. No existing system has produced a firm answer with arespectable degree of conviction.
This book will present a system to answer those questions with ahigh degree of confidence.
Xin Xie is the Director for Institute of International Trade andInvestment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center,Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry ofEducation. He has a PhD in Economics from Columbia University inNew York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at ZhongnanUniversity of Finance in China. He has extensive experiences inbanking and investment industries as Senior Economists andStrategists in Bank of America and UBS AG.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Xie, Xin

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Preface.
1 The Need for a Full View Integrated Approach.
1.1 The Motivation.
1.2 The Necessity of FVITA.
1.3 Random Walk?
2 Two Basic Elements of Market Dynamics.
2.1 Oscillators--An Overview.
2.2 The Oscillator of Choice--Stochastics.
2.3 Trend Indicator--Moving Average.
2.4 Trend Indicator--Moving AverageConvergence/Divergence.
2.5 Adaptive Trend Indicators.
2.6 Adaptive Oscillators.
2.7 Other Tools of Technical Analysis.
3 Multi-Screen Systems.
3.1 The Need for Multi-Screen Approaches.
3.2 Triple Screens.
3.3 Extended Interval Charts in FVITA--Daily and Up.
3.4 Intra-Day Interval Charts in FVITA.
4 Bounded, Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Markets.
4.1 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market I--Concept.
4.2 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear MarketII--Criteria.
4.3 Interval-Specifi c Bull and Bear Market III--Limits ofCountermovements.
4.4 Triple Screen System Under Full View.
5 Market Turning Points and Duration of Pauses.
5.1 Support and Resistance.
5.2 Bollinger Bands.
5.3 Waves.
5.4 Turning Points after Eight and R9 Observations.
5.5 Thrust.
5.6 Type I, II, and III Pauses.
6 Trend Reversals vs. Temporary Countertrends.
6.1 Trend Reversals.
6.2 Without the Two-Day Chart.
6.3 Running Space after Trend Reversal.
6.4 Temporary Countertrends.
6.5 Straight Pauses.
6.6 Exception 1: Composite Bottoming-Up and CompositeTopping-Off.
6.7 Exception 2: Approaching the Turning Point.
6.8 Relationship between Low- and High-Order Signals.
6.9 Trading Strategies on Trend Signals.
7 Pauses Under Different Market Conditions.
7.1 Pausing-Down from a Historical New High.
7.2 Pauses Against Temporary Trends.
7.3 Trading Strategies for Pauses.
8 Case Studies.
8.1 Case 1: The 2007 Financial Market Crisis--DJIA.
8.2 Case 2: The 2000 High-Tech Bubble and itsAftermath--DJIA.
8.3 Case 3: The 1990 Bubble and Fall--Topix.
8.4 Case 4: The 2003 Rebound and 2007 Crash.
8.5 Case 5: The 2007 Crash--Shanghai Composite Index.
9 Random Walk, Effi cient Market vs. Market Activism.
9.1 Efficient Market Hypothesis--The Roots 208.
9.2 Efficient Market Hypothesis--The Evidence.
9.3 EMH, Market Activism and the $100 Bill Story.
9.4 Flawed Empirical Observations Against Market Activism.
9.5 A Fund to Show Effective Market Activision.
9.6 A Theoretical Argument for Technical Analysis.
10 Integrating Macro, Fundamental, Quantitative and TechnicalAnalysis.
10.1 The Fragmented State of Market Analysis.
10.2 Integrating Different Technical Analyses Under FVITA.
10.3 Macroeconomic Analysis and FVITA.
10.3.1 Integrated Approach to News Processing.
10.3.2 Integrated Analysis of Bubbles and Panics.
10.4 Firm Fundamentals and FVITA 248.
10.5 Options and FVITA.
11 Other Issues.
11.1 Statistical Analysis.
11.2 Technical Analysis as Public Knowledge.
12 Concluding Remarks.
Glossary.
References.
Index.

Über Autor(innen)

Xin Xie is the Director for the Institute of International Trade and Investment at the Upper Yangtze River Economic Research Center, Chongqing University of Business and Technology and PRC Ministry of Education. He has a PhD in Economics from the Columbia University in New York and a Master of Arts Degree in Statistics at Zhongnan University of Finance in China. He has extensive experience in the banking and investment industries as a Senior Economist and Strategist, starting his investment career with UBS AG in Zurich and later working for the Bank of America in Singapore.