Tsay | Multivariate Time Series Analysis | E-Book | sack.de
E-Book

E-Book, Englisch, 520 Seiten, E-Book

Reihe: Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics

Tsay Multivariate Time Series Analysis

With R and Financial Applications
1. Auflage 2013
ISBN: 978-1-118-61775-5
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
Format: EPUB
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

With R and Financial Applications

E-Book, Englisch, 520 Seiten, E-Book

Reihe: Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics

ISBN: 978-1-118-61775-5
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
Format: EPUB
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)



An accessible guide to the multivariate time series toolsused in numerous real-world applications
Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and FinancialApplications is the much anticipated sequel coming from one ofthe most influential and prominent experts on the topic of timeseries. Through a fundamental balance of theory and methodology,the book supplies readers with a comprehensible approach tofinancial econometric models and their applications to real-worldempirical research.
Differing from the traditional approach to multivariate timeseries, the book focuses on reader comprehension by emphasizingstructural specification, which results in simplified parsimoniousVAR MA modeling. Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R andFinancial Applications utilizes the freely available Rsoftware package to explore complex data and illustrate relatedcomputation and analyses. Featuring the techniques and methodologyof multivariate linear time series, stationary VAR models, VAR MAtime series and models, unitroot process, factor models, andfactor-augmented VAR models, the book includes:
* Over 300 examples and exercises to reinforce thepresented content
* User-friendly R subroutines and research presentedthroughout to demonstrate modern applications
* Numerous datasets and subroutines to provide readerswith a deeper understanding of the material
Multivariate Time Series Analysis is an ideal textbookfor graduate-level courses on time series and quantitative financeand upper-undergraduate level statistics courses in time series.The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers andpractitioners in business, finance, and econometrics.

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Weitere Infos & Material


Preface xv
Acknowledgements xvii
1 Multivariate Linear Time Series 1
1.1 Introduction, 1
1.2 Some Basic Concepts, 5
1.3 Cross-Covariance and Correlation Matrices, 8
1.4 Sample CCM, 9
1.5 Testing Zero Cross-Correlations, 12
1.6 Forecasting, 16
1.7 Model Representations, 18
1.8 Outline of the Book, 22
1.9 Software, 23
Exercises, 23
2 Stationary Vector Autoregressive Time Series 27
2.1 Introduction, 27
2.2 VAR(1) Models, 28
2.3 VAR(2) Models, 37
2.4 VAR(p) Models, 41
2.5 Estimation, 44
2.6 Order Selection, 61
2.7 Model Checking, 66
2.8 Linear Constraints, 80
2.9 Forecasting, 82
2.10 Impulse Response Functions, 89
2.11 Forecast Error Variance Decomposition, 96
2.12 Proofs, 98
Exercises, 100
3 Vector Autoregressive Moving-Average Time Series 105
3.1 Vector MA Models, 106
3.2 Specifying VMA Order, 112
3.3 Estimation of VMA Models, 113
3.4 Forecasting of VMA Models, 126
3.5 VARMA Models, 127
3.6 Implications of VARMA Models, 139
3.7 Linear Transforms of VARMA Processes, 141
3.8 Temporal Aggregation of VARMA Processes, 144
3.9 Likelihood Function of a VARMA Model, 146
3.10 Innovations Approach to Exact Likelihood Function, 155
3.11 Asymptotic Distribution of Maximum Likelihood Estimates, 160
3.12 Model Checking of Fitted VARMA Models, 163
3.13 Forecasting of VARMA Models, 164
3.14 Tentative Order Identification, 166
3.15 Empirical Analysis of VARMA Models, 176
3.16 Appendix, 192
Exercises, 194
4 Structural Specification of VARMA Models 199
4.1 The Kronecker Index Approach, 200
4.2 The Scalar Component Approach, 212
4.3 Statistics for Order Specification, 220
4.4 Finding Kronecker Indices, 222
4.5 Finding Scalar Component Models, 226
4.6 Estimation, 237
4.7 An Example, 245
4.8 Appendix: Canonical Correlation Analysis, 259
Exercises, 262
5 Unit-Root Nonstationary Processes 265
5.1 Univariate Unit-Root Processes, 266
5.2 Multivariate Unit-Root Processes, 279
5.3 Spurious Regressions, 290
5.4 Multivariate Exponential Smoothing, 291
5.5 Cointegration, 294
5.6 An Error-Correction Form, 297
5.7 Implications of Cointegrating Vectors, 300
5.8 Parameterization of Cointegrating Vectors, 302
5.9 Cointegration Tests, 303
5.10 Estimation of Error-Correction Models, 313
5.11 Applications, 319
5.12 Discussion, 326
5.13 Appendix, 327
Exercises, 328
6 Factor Models and Selected Topics 333
6.1 Seasonal Models, 333
6.2 Principal Component Analysis, 341
6.3 Use of Exogenous Variables, 345
6.4 Missing Values, 357
6.5 Factor Models, 364
6.6 Classification and Clustering Analysis, 386
Exercises, 394
7 Multivariate Volatility Models 399
7.1 Testing Conditional Heteroscedasticity, 401
7.2 Estimation of Multivariate Volatility Models, 407
7.3 Diagnostic Checks of Volatility Models, 409
7.4 Exponentially Weighted Moving Average, 414
7.5 BEKK Models, 417
7.6 Cholesky Decomposition and Volatility Modeling, 420
7.7 Dynamic Conditional Correlation Models, 428
7.8 Orthogonal Transformation, 434
7.9 Copula-Based Models, 443
7.10 Principal Volatility Components, 454
Exercises, 461
Appendix A Review of Mathematics and Statistics 465
A.1 Review of Vectors and Matrices, 465
A.2 Least-Squares Estimation, 477
A.3 Multivariate Normal Distributions, 478
A.4 Multivariate Student-t Distribution, 479
A.5 Wishart and Inverted Wishart Distributions, 480
A.6 Vector and Matrix Differentials, 481
Index 489


RUEY S. TSAY, PhD, is H.G.B. Alexander Professor of Econometrics and Statistics at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He has written over 125 published articles in the areas of business and economic forecasting, data analysis, risk management, and process control. A Fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and Academia Sinica, Dr. Tsay is author of Analysis of Financial Time Series, Third Edition and An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R, and coauthor of A Course in Time Series Analysis, all published by Wiley.



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