Ram / Pham Advances in Reliability Analysis and its Applications

1. Auflage 2019
ISBN: 978-3-030-31375-3
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 391 Seiten

Reihe: Springer Series in Reliability Engineering

This book presents the latest research in the fields of reliability theory and its applications, providing a comprehensive overview of reliability engineering and discussing various tools, techniques, strategies and methods within these areas. Reliability analysis is one of the most multidimensional topics in the field of systems reliability engineering, and while its rapid development creates opportunities for industrialists and academics, it is also means that it is hard to keep up to date with the research taking place. By gathering findings from institutions around the globe, the book offers insights into the international developments in the field. As well as discussing the current areas of research, it also identifies knowledge gaps in reliability theory and its applications and highlights fruitful avenues for future research. Covering topics from life cycle sustainability to performance analysis of cloud computing, this book is ideal for upper undergraduate and postgraduate researchers studying reliability engineering.


Dr. Mangey Ram received the Ph.D. degree major in Mathematics and minor in Computer Science from G. B. Pant University of Agriculture and Technology, Pantnagar, India. He has been a Faculty Member for around ten years and has taught several core courses in pure and applied mathematics at undergraduate, postgraduate, and doctorate levels. He is currently a Professor at Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), Dehradun, India. Before joining the Graphic Era, he was a Deputy Manager (Probationary Officer) with Syndicate Bank for a short period. He is Editor-in-Chief of International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences and the Guest Editor & Member of the editorial board of various journals. He is a regular reviewer for international journals, including IEEE, Elsevier, Springer, Emerald, John Wiley, Taylor & Francis and many other publishers. He has published 150 plus research publications in IEEE, Taylor & Francis, Springer, Elsevier, Emerald, World Scientific and many other national and international journals of repute and also presented his works at national and international conferences. His fields of research are reliability theory and applied mathematics. Dr. Ram is a Senior Member of the IEEE, Life Member of Operational Research Society of India, Society for Reliability Engineering, Quality and Operations Management in India, Indian Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Member of International Association of Engineers in Hong Kong, and Emerald Literati Network in the U.K. He has been a Member of the organizing committee of a number of international and national conferences, seminars, and workshops. He has been conferred with 'Young Scientist Award' by the Uttarakhand State Council for Science and Technology, Dehradun, in 2009. He has been awarded the 'Best Faculty Award' in 2011; 'Research Excellence Award' in 2015; and recently 'Outstanding Researcher Award' in 2018 for his significant contribution in academics and research at Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun, India. Dr. Hoang Pham is a Distinguished Professor and Former Chairman (2007-2013) of the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Rutgers University, New Jersey. Before joining Rutgers, he was a Senior Engineering Specialist with the Boeing Company and the Idaho National Engineering Laboratory. He received the M.S. degree in Statistics from the University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, and the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in Industrial Engineering from the State University of New York, Buffalo. Dr. Pham has been served as Editor-in-Chief, Editor, Associate Editor, Guest Editor and Board Member of many journals. He is the Editor of Springer Book Series in Reliability Engineering and the Editor of World Scientific Book Series on Industrial and Systems Engineering and has served as Conference Chair and Programme Chair of over 40 international conferences. He is the author or coauthor of 6 books and has published over 170 journal articles and edited 12 books including Springer Handbook in Engineering Statistics and Handbook in Reliability Engineering. He has delivered over 40 invited keynotes and plenary speeches at many international conferences. His numerous awards include the 2009 IEEE Reliability Society Engineer of the Year Award. He is a Fellow of the IEEE and the Institute of Industrial Engineers (IIE).

Autoren/Hrsg.

Ram, Mangey

Pham, Hoang

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Preface;6
2;Contents;9
3;Time Varying Communication Networks: Modelling, Reliability Evaluation and Optimization;11
3.1;1 Introduction;12
3.2;2 Modelling Techniques;14
3.2.1;2.1 Overview;14
3.2.2;2.2 Evolving Graph Model;17
3.2.3;2.3 Path Set and Cut Set Model for TVCNs;19
3.3;3 Difference: TVCN and Static Network;21
3.4;4 Network Reliability: An Overview;22
3.4.1;4.1 Important Definitions and Metrics;22
3.4.2;4.2 Reliability Evaluation—Static Networks;22
3.4.3;4.3 Reliability Evaluation—TVCNs;23
3.4.4;4.4 Reliability Optimization;24
3.5;5 TVCN Reliability Evaluation;26
3.5.1;5.1 Network Model;27
3.5.2;5.2 TS-MPS Enumeration Techniques;27
3.5.3;5.3 TS-MCS Enumeration Techniques;33
3.5.4;5.4 Reliability Related Metrics Evaluation;34
3.6;6 Conclusions and Directions for Future Research;36
3.7;References;37
4;Methods for Prognosis and Optimization of Energy Plants Efficiency in Starting Step of Life Cycle;41
4.1;1 Introduction;43
4.2;2 Review of Previous Research;44
4.3;3 Theoretical Reviews;47
4.3.1;3.1 Life Cycle of Energy Power Plants;48
4.3.2;3.2 Effectiveness of the Energy System as a Complex Technical System;50
4.4;4 Selection of Parameters for the Evaluation of Energy Efficiency of Energy Systems;65
4.4.1;4.1 Time Characteristics Achieved in the Exploitation of the Energy System;65
4.4.2;4.2 Energetic Indicators Achieved in the Exploitation of Energy Systems;67
4.4.3;4.3 Technical and Economic Indicators Achieved in the Exploitation of the Energy System;68
4.5;5 Main Consumption of Thermal Power Plants;70
4.6;6 Methods for the Prognosis and Optimization of Energy Systems Efficiency;72
4.6.1;6.1 Methods for Giving Prognosis Estimates of the Effectiveness of Energy Systems;73
4.6.2;6.2 Mathematical Problem Optimization for the Efficiency of Energy Systems;80
4.7;7 Racionalization of Energy Consumption and Prevention for Their Implementation;92
4.8;8 Conclusions;93
4.9;References;100
5;Planning Methods for Production Systems Development in the Energy Sector and Energy Efficiency;104
5.1;1 Introduction;106
5.2;2 Review of Past Research;108
5.3;3 Basic Planning Schemes in the Field of Energetics;111
5.4;4 On Energy Safety, Diversification of Energy Sources and Quality of Energy;117
5.4.1;4.1 Energy Policy;120
5.4.2;4.2 Planning in Energetics;125
5.4.3;4.3 Integrated Planning and Energy Policy;127
5.5;5 Straight Planning of Electricity Production;130
5.5.1;5.1 Integrated Planning and Energy Policy;130
5.5.2;5.2 Level Includes—Global, Regional, National, Local or Project Level;137
5.5.3;5.3 General Considerations of Optimizing the Operation of the Electricity Energy System (EES);138
5.5.4;5.4 Energy Efficiency Management System;140
5.5.5;5.5 Energy Efficiency Regulations in the EU and Republic of Srpska and BiH as a Whole;141
5.5.6;5.6 Guidelines for Energy Efficiency in Production;142
5.6;6 On Example of the Adopted Policy for the Strategy of Development of the Electric Power Sector;144
5.7;7 Conclusions;153
5.8;References;155
6;The Integral Method of Hazard and Risk Assessment for the Production Facilities Operations;158
6.1;1 The Method of Integrated Safety Assessment at Hazardous Production Facilities;158
6.1.1;1.1 Introduction;159
6.1.2;1.2 Goal Setting;161
6.1.3;1.3 Some Marks About Nonrandomness of Decision Rules;163
6.1.4;1.4 Method of Solution;164
6.1.5;1.5 Case Study;165
6.1.6;1.6 Conclusion;170
6.2;2 Some Methodological Aspects of Multicriteria Method of Decision-Making on the Sustainability and Security of Industrial Objects Exploitation;171
6.2.1;2.1 The Problem of Constructing an Integral Indicator Industrial Safety;172
6.2.2;2.2 The Main Provisions of the Group Analysis of Object Dynamics;174
6.2.3;2.3 Diffusion Approximation of Markov Processes. Fokker-Planck Equation;177
6.2.4;2.4 Estimation of Average Time of Passing «Way» for the Fulfilment of Obligations;180
6.2.5;2.5 Diffusion Model in Economic Behavior. Approaches to Developing a Methodology for Analyzing the Risk of Default of the Operating Organization;184
6.2.6;2.6 Example of Building a Dynamic Corridor Model;189
6.2.7;2.7 Target Construction Based on the Support Vector Machine;195
6.2.8;2.8 Case Study;199
6.2.9;2.9 Conclusion;205
6.3;References;206
7;Multi-level Hierarchical Reliability Model of Technical Systems: Theory and Application;209
7.1;1 Introduction;210
7.2;2 Methodology of Multilevel Hierarchical Reliability Model;213
7.2.1;2.1 Structure of MLHRM;213
7.2.2;2.2 Goals, Methods and Models;216
7.3;3 Application Cases;219
7.3.1;3.1 Electrical Helicopter;220
7.3.2;3.2 Icebreaker LNG Tanker with Electric Propulsion;221
7.3.3;3.3 Component Level and Subunit Level;223
7.3.4;3.4 Unit Level;224
7.3.5;3.5 Subsystem Level;231
7.3.6;3.6 System Level;237
7.4;4 Conclusions;240
7.5;References;240
8;Graph Theory Based Reliability Assessment Software Program for Complex Systems;243
8.1;1 Introduction;244
8.2;2 Reliability Modeling;244
8.2.1;2.1 What Is Reliability?;244
8.2.2;2.2 Statistical Distributions;246
8.3;3 Graph Theory;247
8.4;4 Reliability Assessment Software Program;249
8.5;5 Reliability Assessment Application for Aircraft;252
8.5.1;5.1 Aircraft System;252
8.5.2;5.2 Reliability Aircraft Analysis;253
8.5.3;5.3 Simulation Results and Discussion;254
8.6;6 Conclusions;256
8.7;References;257
9;Reliability and Vacation: The Critical Issue;258
9.1;1 Introduction;259
9.2;2 Machine Repair Problem (MRP);260
9.3;3 MRP with N-Policy;264
9.4;4 MRP with Bernoulli Vacation Policy (BV);268
9.5;5 MRP with Multiple Vacation Policy (MV);272
9.6;6 MRP with Single Vacation Policy (SV);276
9.7;7 MRP with Multiple Working Vacation Policy (MWV);280
9.8;8 MRP with Single Working Vacation Policy (SWV);284
9.9;9 MRP with Vacation Interruption Policy (VI);288
9.10;10 Discussion;294
9.11;References;296
10;Software Multi Up-Gradation Modeling Based on Different Scenarios;300
10.1;1 Introduction;300
10.2;2 Notations;303
10.3;3 Methodology;304
10.4;4 Numerical Analysis;307
10.5;5 Conclusion;311
10.6;References;311
11;A Hidden Markov Model for a Day-Ahead Prediction of Half-Hourly Energy Demand in Romanian Electricity Market;313
11.1;1 Introduction;313
11.2;2 HMM Strategy;314
11.2.1;2.1 Assumptions and Preliminaries;314
11.2.2;2.2 Approach;317
11.3;3 Exploratory Results;321
11.4;4 Conclusions and Future Work;322
11.5;References;323
12;A General (Universal) Form of Multivariate Survival Functions in Theoretical and Modeling Aspect of Multicomponent System Reliability Analysis;324
12.1;1 Introduction;325
12.2;2 Marginal Factors Representation;326
12.3;3 Universality of Joiner Representation of Bivariariate Survival Functions;334
12.4;4 Baseline Factors Representation;336
12.5;5 k-Variate Survival Functions Universal Representation;340
12.6;6 Conclusions;345
12.7;References;347
13;An Exact Method for Solving a Least-Cost Attack on Networks;348
13.1;1 Introduction;348
13.2;2 Literature Review;349
13.3;3 Problem Statement;350
13.4;4 Solution Method;351
13.4.1;4.1 Notations;351
13.4.2;4.2 Solution Procedure;351
13.4.3;4.3 Illustration;354
13.5;5 Experimental Study and Discussion;360
13.6;6 Conclusions and Perspectives;362
13.7;References;364
14;Reliability Analysis of Complex Repairable System in Thermal Power Plant;365
14.1;1 Introduction;365
14.2;2 Research Background;366
14.3;3 Proposed Framework;367
14.4;4 Fuzzy Concept and Reliability Approach;367
14.4.1;4.1 Fuzzy Set Theory Basics;367
14.4.2;4.2 Fuzzy Lambda-Tau Approach;369
14.5;5 Case Study;371
14.5.1;5.1 Reliability Analysis;371
14.5.2;5.2 Result Discussion;372
14.6;6 Conclusion and Limitation of the Work;375
14.7;References;375
15;Performance Analysis of Suspension Bridge: A Reliability Approach;377
15.1;1 Introduction;377
15.2;2 Suppositions;379
15.3;3 Nomenclature;380
15.4;4 States Narrative;380
15.5;5 State Transition Diagram;381
15.6;6 Analysis and Methodology;382
15.7;7 Mathematical Computation;385
15.7.1;7.1 Availability;385
15.7.2;7.2 Reliability Analysis;386
15.7.3;7.3 Mean Time to Failure (MTTF);387
15.7.4;7.4 Sensitivity Analysis;387
15.8;8 Results Discussion;389
15.9;9 Conclusion;390
15.10;References;390