Lindley Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition

2. Auflage 2013
ISBN: 978-1-118-65011-0
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch, 432 Seiten, E-Book

Reihe: Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics

Praise for the First Edition
"...a reference for everyone who is interested in knowing andhandling uncertainty."
--Journal of Applied Statistics
The critically acclaimed First Edition ofUnderstanding Uncertainty provided a study of uncertaintyaddressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty couldbe measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basicrules that enabled uncertainty to be handled sensibly in everydaylife. These ideas were extended to embrace the scientific methodand to show how decisions, containing an uncertain element, couldbe rationally made.
Featuring new material, the Revised Edition remains thego-to guide for uncertainty and decision making, providing furtherapplications at an accessible level including:
* A critical study of transitivity, a basic concept inprobability
* A discussion of how the failure of the financial sector to usethe proper approach to uncertainty may have contributed to therecent recession
* A consideration of betting, showing that a bookmaker's odds arenot expressions of probability
* Applications of the book's thesis to statistics
* A demonstration that some techniques currently popular instatistics, like significance tests, may be unsound, even seriouslymisleading, because they violate the rules of probability
Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition is ideal forstudents studying probability or statistics and for anyoneinterested in one of the most fascinating and vibrant fields ofstudy in contemporary science and mathematics.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Lindley, Dennis V.

Über Autor(innen)

DENNIS V. LINDLEY is Professor Emeritus of Statistics andthe former Head of Department at University College London. He is aGuy Medalist in Gold of the Royal Statistical Society and afounding organizer and former president of the celebrated ValenciaInternational Meetings on Bayesian Statistics. Professor Lindleyhas published over 100 scholarly articles and several books,including Making Decisions, also published by Wiley.