An Empirical Analysis of Population and Technological Progress

1. Auflage 2016
ISBN: 978-4-431-54958-1
Verlag: Springer Japan

Buch, Englisch, 51 Seiten, Format (B × H): 155 mm x 235 mm, Gewicht: 1124 g

Reihe: SpringerBriefs in Population Studies

Analyzing the relation between population factors and technological progress is the main purpose of this book. With its declining population, Japan faces the simple but difficult problem of whether sustained economic growth can be maintained. Although there are many studies to investigate future economic growth from the point of view of labor force transition and the decreasing saving rate, technological progress is the most important factor to be considered in the future path of the Japanese economy. Technological progress is the result of innovations or improvements in the quality of human and physical capital. The increase in technological progress, which is measured as total factor productivity (TFP), is realized both by improvements in productivity in the short term and by economic developments in the long term. The author investigates the relationship of population factors and productivity, focusing on productivity improvement in the short term. Many discussions have long been held about the relation between population and technological progress. From the old Malthusian model to the modern endogenous economic growth models, various theories are developed in the context of growth theory. In this book, these discussions are summarized briefly, with an analysis of the quantitative relation between population and technological progress using country-based panel data in recent periods.

Zielgruppe

Research

Autoren/Hrsg.

Kato, Hisakazu

Fachgebiete

• Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziologie Allgemein Demographie, Demoskopie
• Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziologie Allgemein Empirische Sozialforschung, Statistik

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1. Introduction.-  2. The Relation between Population and Technological Progress(2.1 From Malthus to Endogenous Model, 2.1.1Malthusian Model, 2.1.2 The Relation of Technology and Output, 2.1.3 The Relation of Population Growth and Technology, 2.2 Population Declining Society and Technological Progress, 2.3 Theoretical Setting for Empirical Analysis).-  3. Empirical Analysis using OECD Panel Data (3.1 Data, 3.1.1 Outline of Data, 3.1.2 International Comparison of MFP in OECD countries, 3.1.3 Time-series transition of MFP of some major countries, 3.1.4 Population aspects of OECD countries, 3.1.5 Economic Performances of OECD countries, 3.2 Method of empirical analysis, 3.2.1 Panel data analysis, 3.2.2 Hypothesis testing, 3.2.3 Dynamic panel analysis, 3.3 Results of Empirical Analysis, 3.2.1 Relation between the Scale and the Growth Rate of Population, 3.2.2 Results of Empirical Analysis for MFP, 3.2.3 Results of Empirical Analysis for Labor Productivity, 3.2.4 Results from dynamic panel analysis).-  4. Conclusions and Remained Problems.-  Refeences