Decisions Under Uncertainty

Probabilistic Analysis for Engineering Decisions
Erscheinungsjahr 2011
ISBN: 978-0-521-78277-7
Verlag: Cambridge University Press

Buch, Englisch, 688 Seiten, Format (B × H): 183 mm x 260 mm, Gewicht: 1471 g

Risk assessment is a critical part of every engineer's role, whether it is simply to determine the likelihood of failure of a new product within the warranty period, or the potential cost, human and financial, of the catastrophic failure of a bridge. This book helps the reader to understand the tradeoffs between time, costs and risk in an engineering setting, and includes a wide range of case studies and worked examples. It introduces the basic theory and covers all of the most widely used mathematical techniques likely to be encountered in real engineering projects. Equally valuable for graduate students, practising engineers, designers and project managers.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Jordaan, Ian

Fachgebiete

• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Operations Research
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Risikobewertung, Risikotheorie
• Mathematik | Informatik EDV | Informatik Informatik Künstliche Intelligenz Wissensbasierte Systeme, Expertensysteme
• Technische Wissenschaften Technik Allgemein Mathematik für Ingenieure

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1. Uncertainty and decision-making
2. The concept of probability
3. Distributions and expectation
4. The concept of utility
5. Games and optimization
6. Entropy
7. Mathematical aspects
8. Exchangeability and inference
9. Extremes
10. Risk, safety and reliability
11. Data and simulation
12. Conclusion
Appendix.

Über Autor(innen)

Jordaan, Ian
Ian Jordaan is a full Professor in the Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science at the Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada. Prior to joining the university in 1986 he was Vice President, Research and Development at Det Norske Veritas (Canada) Ltd., and before this he was a full Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Calgary, Canada. He is the recipient of a number of awards including the Horst Leipholz Medal of the Canadian Society for Civil Engineering and held the NSERC-Mobil Industrial Research Chair in Ocean Engineering at Newfoundland from 1986 to 1996.