Subjective Probability

The Real Thing
Erscheinungsjahr 2010
ISBN: 978-0-521-53668-4
Verlag: Cambridge University Press

Buch, Englisch, 140 Seiten, Format (B × H): 152 mm x 229 mm, Gewicht: 217 g

This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Jeffrey, Richard C.

Fachgebiete

• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Entscheidungstheorie, Sozialwahltheorie
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Stochastik Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
• Geisteswissenschaften Philosophie Wissenschaftstheorie, Wissenschaftsphilosophie
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Numerik und Wissenschaftliches Rechnen Angewandte Mathematik, Mathematische Modelle

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1. Probability primer
2. Testing scientific theories
3. Probability dynamics
collaboration
4. Expectation primer
5. Updating on statistics
6. Choosing.