Buch, Englisch, 468 Seiten, Format (B × H): 190 mm x 236 mm, Gewicht: 867 g
Buch, Englisch, 468 Seiten, Format (B × H): 190 mm x 236 mm, Gewicht: 867 g
ISBN: 978-0-470-71439-3
Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them. It is presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner without using mathematical notation.
The fourth edition has been fully revised and updated and includes a number of changes to reflect the latest developments in the field.
Autoren/Hrsg.
Weitere Infos & Material
Foreword by Lawrence D. Phillips
Preface
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 How people make decisions involving multiple objectives
Chapter 3 Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART
Chapter 4 Decisions involving multiple objectives: Alternatives to SMART
Chapter 5 Introduction to probability
Chapter 6 Decision making under uncertainty
Chapter 7 Decision trees and influence diagrams
Chapter 8 Applying simulation to decision problems
Chapter 9 Revising judgments in the light of new information
Chapter 10 Heuristics and biases in probability assessment
Chapter 11 Methods for eliciting probabilities
Chapter 12 Risk and uncertainty management
Chapter 13 Decisions involving groups of individuals
Chapter 14 Resource allocation and negotiation problems
Chapter 15 Decision framing and cognitive inertia
Chapter 16 Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty
Chapter 17 Alternative decision-support systems and conclusions
Suggested answers to selected questions
Index
