de Marsily / Merriam Predictive Geology

With Emphasis on Nuclear-Waste Disposal
1. Auflage 2013
ISBN: 978-1-4831-6547-9
Verlag: Elsevier Science & Techn.
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 222 Seiten, Web PDF

Predictive Geology: With Emphasis on Nuclear-Waste Disposal covers the proceedings of papers presented at sessions sponsored by the International Association for Mathematical Geology. The topics that this book tackles are issues relevant to nuclear-waste disposal. The first chapter discusses the use of plate tectonics as a catastrophe theoretic model, and the second chapter covers geologic predictions and radioactive waste disposal. Chapter 3 also talks about radioactive waste disposal, with emphasis on the application of predictive geology. Chapter 4 discusses salt domes and Chapter 5 tackles the use of fault-tree analysis for probabilistic assessment of radioactive-waste segregation. The sixth chapter covers predictive geology in nuclear-waste management, while the seventh chapter tackles nuclear power on unstable ground. The eighth chapter deals with long-term thermohydrologic behavior of nuclear-waste repositories. Chapter 9 discusses the influence of faulting on groundwater flow and contaminant transport, while chapter 10 covers the influence of microfissures in crystalline rock on radionuclide migration. The eleventh chapter tackles the long-term prediction of the fate of nuclear waste deeply buried in granite, and the twelfth chapter talks about the use of quantitative evaluation of the contribution of geologic knowledge in exploration for petroleum. The last chapter deals with resource-estimation models and predicted discovery. Researchers and professionals concerned with the effects of radioactive materials to the environment will find this book a great source of information.

Autoren/Hrsg.

de Marsily, Ghislain

Merriam, Daniel F

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Front Cover;1
2;Predictive Geology;4
3;Copyright Page;5
4;Table of Contents;6
5;LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS;8
6;PREFACE;10
7;INTRODUCTION;12
8;CHAPTER 1. PLATE TECTONICS A SA CATASTROPHE THEORETIC MODEL;18
8.1;ABSTRACT;18
8.2;INTRODUCTION;18
8.3;THE HYPOTHESIS OF PLATE RIGIDITY;19
8.4;THEORY OF VOLCANISM;21
8.5;THEORY OF VOLCANISM;22
8.6;THE KINEMATIC CAUSTIC OF A FLUID;23
8.7;REFERENCE;23
8.8;DISCUSSION;24
9;CHAPTER 2. GEOLOGIC PREDICTIONS AND RADIOACTIVE-WASTE DISPOSAL: A TIME LIMIT FOR THE PREDICTIVE REQUIREMENTS;26
9.1;ABSTRACT;26
9.2;INTRODUCTION;26
9.3;THE LONG-LIVED WASTES;27
9.4;RADIOTOXICITY AS A FUNCTION OF TIME;29
9.5;LENGTH OF REQUIRED ISOLATION;32
9.6;THE GEOLOGIC ISOLATION CONCEPT;33
9.7;THE GEOLOGIC PREDICTIONS;35
9.8;CONCLUSIONS;38
9.9;REFERENCES;39
10;CHAPTER 3. RADIOACTIVE-WASTE DISPOSAL - AN APPLICATION OF PREDICTIVE GEOLOGY;42
10.1;ABSTRACT;42
10.2;INTRODUCTION;42
10.3;RADIONUCLIDE TRANSPORT TO THE BIOSPHERE UNDER EXISTING CONDITIONS;43
10.4;RADIONUCLIDE TRANSPORT TO THE BIOSPHERE UNDER FUTURE CONDITIONS;47
10.5;SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS;48
10.6;REFERENCES;49
10.7;DISCUSSION;49
11;CHAPTER 4. SALT DOMES - THE PAST AND PRESENT, KEYS TO THE FUTURE;50
11.1;ABSTRACT;50
11.2;INTRODUCTION;50
11.3;PREDICTIVE CAPABILITIES;54
11.4;CULTURAL INTRUSION;57
11.5;CONCLUDING STATEMENT;58
11.6;ACKNOWLEDGMENT;59
11.7;REFERENCES;59
12;CHAPTER 5. FAULT-TREE ANALYSIS FOR PROBABILISTIC ASSESSMENT OF RADIOACTIVE-WASTE SEGREGATION: AN APPLICATION TO A PLASTIC CLAY FORMATION AT A SPECIFIC SITE;62
12.1;ABSTRACT;62
12.2;INTRODUCTION;63
12.3;ASSESSMENT OF THE RELIABILITY OF GEOLOGICAL SEGREGATION;63
12.4;PROBABILISTIC ASSESSMENT OF GEOLOGICAL PROCESSES;64
12.5;THE FAULT TREE: A TOOL TO ORGANIZE AND MANAGE PROBABILITY VALUES;65
12.6;APPLICATION OF FTA TO A POTENTIAL SPECIFIC SITUATION;66
12.7;SITE DESCRIPTION;66
12.8;RECEPTOR DEFINITION AND TIME FRAME;67
12.9;CONSIDERED EVENTS AND PHENOMENA;67
12.10;FTA DESCRIPTION AND RESULTS;70
12.11;EXAMPLES OF METHODS UTILIZED FOR PROBABILITY EVALUATION;72
12.12;CONCLUSIONS;77
12.13;REFERENCES;78
13;CHAPTER 6. PREDICTIVE GEOLOGY IN NUCLEAR-WASTE MANAGEMENT;82
13.1;ABSTRACT;82
13.2;INTRODUCTION;82
13.3;THE STERNO SITE;83
13.4;EFFECTS OF FUTURE EVENTS;90
13.5;ACKNOWLEDGMENTS;95
13.6;REFERENCES;95
14;CHAPTER 7. NUCLEAR POWER ON UNSTABLE GROUND;100
14.1;ABSTRACT;100
14.2;UNSAFETY, UNSTABILITY, AND UNSOLVED PROBLEMS;100
14.3;THE SWEDISH SITUATION;101
14.4;THE KBS PROJECT;102
14.5;THE NEW GEODYNAMIC PICTURE;103
14.6;LONG-TERM PREDICTIONS;108
14.7;STERNO: THE "PERFECT" REPOSITORY?;110
14.8;CONCLUSIONS;112
14.9;ACKNOWLEDGMENT;112
14.10;REFERENCES;113
14.11;DISCUSSION;115
15;CHAPTER 8. LONG-TERM THERMOHYDROLOGIC BEHAVIOR OF NUCLEAR-WASTE REPOSITORIES;118
15.1;ABSTRACT;118
15.2;INTRODUCTION;118
15.3;MODEL GEOMETRY;119
15.4;MATHEMATICAL APPROACH;122
15.5;TEMPERATURE FIELD;123
15.6;TWO-FRACTURE MODELS WITH FINITE RECHARGE;123
15.7;CONVECTION IN FRACTURES AND POROUS MEDIUM;127
15.8;ACKNOWLEDGMENT;132
15.9;REFERENCES;132
16;CHAPTER 9. INFLUENCE OF FAULTING ON GROUNDWATER FLOW AND CONTAMINANT TRANSPORT;134
16.1;ABSTRACT;134
16.2;INTRODUCTION;134
16.3;RESULTS: LAYERED SEQUENCE WITH VERTICAL DISRUPTION;139
16.4;DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION;149
16.5;REFERENCES;151
16.6;DISCUSSION;152
17;CHAPTER 10. THE INFLUENCE OF MICROFISSURES IN CRYSTALLINE ROCK ON RADIONUCLIDE MIGRATION;154
17.1;ABSTRACT;154
17.2;BACKGROUND;154
17.3;SOME OBSERVATIONS REGARDING MICROFISSURES IN ROCKS;155
17.4;DIFFUSION IN A POROUS BODY;155
17.5;EXPERIMENTAL DATA ON MICROPORE DIFFUSIVITIES IN ROCK;156
17.6;BREAKTHROUGH CURVES FOR FLOW IN A FISSURE;159
17.7;IMPLICATION FOR A FINAL REPOSITORY OF RADIOACTIVE WASTE;160
17.8;COMPARISON WITH THE SURFACE-REACTION MODEL;163
17.9;IMPLICATIONS ON MEASUREMENT OF SORPTION EQUILIBRIUM;165
17.10;CONCLUSIONS;167
17.11;REFERENCES;167
17.12;APPENDIX;168
18;CHAPTER 11. LONG-TERM PREDICTION OF THE FATE OF NUCLEAR WASTE DEEPLY BURIED IN GRANITE;170
18.1;ABSTRACT;170
18.2;FOREWORD;170
18.3;INTRODUCTION;171
18.4;ANALYSIS OF BOREHOLE DATA IN GRANITE;172
18.5;NATURAL MIGRATION OF WATER;173
18.6;CONCLUSIONS;185
18.7;REFERENCES;187
19;CHAPTER 12. QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION OF THE CONTRIBUTION OF GEOLOGIC KNOWLEDGE IN EXPLORATION FOR PETROLEUM;188
19.1;ABSTRACT;188
19.2;INTRODUCTION;188
19.3;FIELD-SIZE DISTRIBUTIONS AND DISCOVERY PROBABILITIES;190
19.4;ROLE OF GEOLOGICAL KNOWLEDGE IN EXPLORATION;192
19.5;EXPONENTIAL MODEL OF RANDOM DRILLING;195
19.6;GENERALIZED MODEL OF RANDOM DRILLING;196
19.7;SUMMARY OF THE RESULTS;198
19.8;QUANTITATIVE CONTRIBUTION OF GEOLOGICAL KNOWLEDGE;203
19.9;CONCLUSIONS;205
19.10;REFERENCES;206
20;CHAPTER 13. RESOURCE-ESTIMATION MODELS AND PREDICTED DISCOVERY;208
20.1;ABSTRACT;208
20.2;INTRODUCTION;208
20.3;HUBBERT'S LOGISTIC MODEL;209
20.4;LIEBERMAN'S URANIUM-RESOURCE STUDY;213
20.5;HOW MUCH OIL IS REALLY DISCOVERED?;215
20.6;RESPONSE TO OIL-EXPLORATION DRILLING;217
20.7;CONCLUSION;219
20.8;ACKNOWLEDGMENT;220
20.9;REFERENCES;220
21;INDEX;222