Chestnut / Vamos / Kopacek International Conflict Resolution Using System Engineering (SWIIS)

1. Auflage 2014
ISBN: 978-1-4832-9827-6
Verlag: Elsevier Science & Techn.
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 160 Seiten, Web PDF

Reihe: IFAC Workshop Series

Finding an alternative to supplement military ways of resolving international conflicts has been taken up by many people skilled in various areas such as political science, economics, social studies, modelling and simulation, artificial intelligence and expert systems, military strategy and weaponry as well as private business and industry. The Workshop will therefore be of use as it looks at various control methods which would create a conciliatory social and political environment or climate for seeking and obtaining non-military solutions to international conflicts and to solutions to national conflicts which may lead to international conflicts.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Chestnut, H.

Vamos, T.

Kopacek, Peter

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Front Cover;1
2;International Conflict Resolution Using System Engineering;4
3;Copyright Page;5
4;Table of Contents;12
5;IFAC WORKSHOP ON INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTIONUSING SYSTEMS ENGINEERING;6
6;PREFACE;8
7;INTRODUCTORY GREETINGS;10
8;CHAPTER 1. THE INTEREST OF UNESCO ININTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION;14
9;CHAPTER 2. ACTIVITIES OF THE IFAC WORKING GROUPON SUPPLEMENTAL WAYS FOR IMPROVING INTERNATIONAL STABILITY (SWIIS);16
10;CHAPTER 3. INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTIONAS PART OF A COOPERATIVE SECURITYSYSTEM;18
10.1;INTRODUCTION;18
10.2;COMMON SECURITY;18
10.3;SYSTEMS ENGINEERING METHODS APPLIED TO COMMON SECURITY;19
10.4;A COOPERATIVE SECURITY SYSTEM (CSS)TO ACHIEVE COMMON SECURITY;21
10.5;IS THERE A WAY OUT?;23
10.6;INCENTIVES AND MOTIVATIONS (Chestnut, 1987;;23
10.7;WHAT IS TO BE DONE NOW?;24
10.8;REFERENCES;25
11;CHAPTER 4. PREPARING FOR PEACEFUL WAYS OF
RESOLVING INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS;26
11.1;INTRODUCTION;26
11.2;OUR INNER STRENGTH - ABILITY TO CHANGE;27
11.3;PARADIGMS FOR MANAGING SOCIETY;28
11.4;WHERE WE WANT OUR ACTIONS TO TAKE US;29
11.5;SUMMARY;29
11.6;REFERENCES;30
12;CHAPTER 5. ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION AND INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION;32
12.1;INTRODUCTION;32
12.2;DESCRIBING THE PROBLEM;32
12.3;STRUCTURING THE PROBLEM;33
12.4;DYNAMICS OF CONFLICT AND POSSIBLE INTERVENTIONS;34
12.5;WAYS OF INTERVENTION AND THEIR INTEGRATION;35
12.6;CONCLUSIONS;36
12.7;REFERENCES;36
13;CHAPTER 6. AN APPROACH TO CONFLICT REDUCTION;38
13.1;THE SITUATION;38
13.2;MEANING OF THE SITUATION AND THE FABRIC OF SOCIETY;38
13.3;RALLYING POINTS;39
13.4;THE PHENOMENON OF BIFURCATION /BRANCHING;39
13.5;LIVING SYSTEMS MODEL (Miller J.G., 1978);40
13.6;ENERGY LEVEL;41
13.7;CONCLUSION;41
13.8;REFERENCES;42
14;CHAPTER 7. THE STRATEGIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEENECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OFDEVELOPING COUNTRIES ANDINTERNATIONAL STABILITY;44
14.1;INTRODUCTION;44
14.2;THE MODEL DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL LARGESCALE SYSTEM;44
14.3;INTERNATIONAL STABILITY ANALYSIS;45
14.4;THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STRATEGY OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AND INTERNATIONAL STABILITY;46
14.5;CONCLUSION;46
14.6;REFERENCE;47
15;CHAPTER 8. CONTROL ENGINEERING METHODS FORINTERNATIONAL STABILITY;48
15.1;INTRODUCTION;48
15.2;THE MODEL;48
15.3;THE MODEL IN TERMS OF SYSTEM ENGINEERING METHODS;49
15.4;SIMULATION RESULTS;50
15.5;CONCLUSION;51
15.6;REFERENCES;51
16;CHAPTER 9. CREATIVE MANAGEMENT AND STABILITY IN A TOTAL ENVIRONMENT;52
16.1;CASE STUDIES FOR NINTH EUROPEAN MEETING ON CYBERNETICS AND SYSTEMS RESEARCH 1988;52
16.2;COMMENT ON METHODOLOGY IN PEACE STUDIES USING CYBERNETIC AND SYSTEMS RESEARCH;53
16.3;FURTHER NOTES ON THE REFERENCES AND METHODS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH AND ADAPTIVE APPLICATIONS OF THE CONTENTPRINCIPLES AND PROCESSES PROPOSED.;54
16.4;REFERENCES;54
17;CHAPTER 10. SIMPLE MODELS OF COOPERATION AND CONFLICT;64
17.1;INTRODUCTION;64
17.2;BASICS OF MODELLING;64
17.3;FIRST ORDER SYSTEMS;65
17.4;SECOND ORDER SYSTEMS;66
17.5;THIRD ORDER SYSTEMS;67
17.6;THE IDA-Sim DISKETTE;68
17.7;CONCLUSIONS;68
17.8;REFERENCES;68
18;CHAPTER 11. STRATEGIC STABILITY ANALYSIS MAN-MACHINE MODELLING SYSTEM;70
18.1;CONCEPT OF STRATEGIC STABILITY;70
18.2;THE STRATEGIC FORCES BALANCE MODELLING;71
18.3;STRATEGIC FORCES SYSTEM ANALYSIS;73
18.4;CONCLUSION;74
18.5;REFERENCES;74
19;CHAPTER 12. SCIENTIFIC DATASETS FOR INTERNATIONAL STABILITY AND GLOBAL SECURITY: THE "INTERSTATE CONFLICT DATASETS CATALOG" (ICDC)1;76
19.1;1. INTRODUCTION;76
19.2;2. SCOPE OF THE INTERSTATE CONFLICT DATASETS CATALOG (ICDC) PROJECT;76
19.3;3. INFORMATION CONTENT OF THE ICDC;78
19.4;4 . A SAMPLE PROFILE OF A DATASET IN THE ICDC;79
19.5;References;80
20;CHAPTER 13. OFFICE FOR RESEARCH AND THECOLLECTION OF INFORMATION (ORCI);82
20.1;INTRODUCTION;82
20.2;THE NEEDS FOR AN ENTITY IN THE SECRETARYGENERAL'S OFFICE SPECIALIZED ININFORMATION AND EARLY WARNING;82
20.3;FUNCTIONS OF THE OFFICE;83
20.4;ACHIEVEMENTS, PROBLEMS AND THE FUTURE;85
21;CHAPTER 14. COGNITIVE/AFFECTIVE FACTORS IN SYSTEMS ENGINEERING DESIGNS FOR INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION;86
21.1;INTRODUCTION;86
21.2;THE NATURE AND HANDLING OFCONFLICT;86
21.3;DETERRENCE THEORY IN ANONLINEAR WORLD;87
21.4;FURTHER DIMENSIONS OF THE PSYCHOLOGICAL SUBSYSTEM;87
21.5;HUMAN BEHAVIOR UNDER CONDITIONS OF CHAOS;88
21.6;CONCLUSION;89
21.7;REFERENCES;89
22;CHAPTER 15. INTERNATIONAL STABILITY—AN INFORMATION AND CONTROL SYSTEMS STUDY OF THE PROCESS;92
22.1;INTRODUCTION;92
22.2;THE DEMISE OF DEFENCE;92
22.3;A CONTROL SYSTEMS ANALYSIS;93
22.4;CONCLUSION;96
22.5;DIRECTIONS FOR FURTHER WORK;97
22.6;REFERENCES;97
23;CHAPTER 16. THE RELATION OF MANAGEMENT TO CONTROL TECHNOLOGY—FURTHER APPLIED STUDIES IN CREATIVE MANAGEMENT OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTAT INTERNATIONAL LEVELS;98
23.1;THE RELATION BETWEEN MANAGEMENT AND CONTROL TECHNOLOGY STRUCTURE;98
23.2;REFERENCES;103
24;CHAPTER 17. A BIBLIOGRAPHICAL REPORT ON SIX CONTEMPORARY GLOBAL MODELS;106
24.1;FUGI;107
24.2;GLOBUS;107
24.3;SARUM;107
24.4;SIM/GDP;108
24.5;WIM;108
24.6;WIOM;109
24.7;BIBLIOGRAPHY OF GLOBAL MODEL REVIEWS;109
25;CHAPTER 18. LONG-TERM IMPACT OF ALTERNATIVE WESTERN POLICY OPTIONS: FOREIGN POLICY CHANGE AND DISARMAMENT;126
25.1;DISARMAMENT OR WAR?1;126
25.2;THE GLOBUS MODEL: AN OVERVIEW;126
25.3;GLOBUS AND EAST-WEST RELATONS: A REVIEW OF SCENARIO STUDIES;127
25.4;THE SCENARIO ANALYSES;128
25.5;SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS;130
25.6;REFERENCES;130
26;CHAPTER 19. COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT OF COUNTRIES AS A WAY TO IMPROVEI NTERNATIONAL STABILITY;132
26.1;INTRODUCTION;132
26.2;MATHEMATICAL MODELLING;132
26.3;CONCLUDING REMARKS;133
26.4;REFERENCES;134
27;CHAPTER 20. APPLICATION OF GLOBAL MODELS TO VARIOUS SCENARIOS RELATED TOINTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION;136
27.1;INTRODUCTION;136
27.2;VARIOUS SCENARIOS;137
27.3;RESULTS;138
27.4;CONCLUSION;140
27.5;REFERENCES;140
28;CHAPTER 21. DECISION SUPPORT IN NON-CONFLICTING TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT—A CONTRIBUTION TO SWIIS;142
28.1;INTRODUCTION;142
28.2;INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT-AN OVERVIEW OF THE CHEMICAL INDUSTRY;143
28.3;PROGRAMMING INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT-A METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH;145
28.4;SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS;148
28.5;REFERENCES;148
29;CHAPTER 22. CONDITIONS OF EFFECTIVE INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION;150
29.1;HOW TO GET IT DONE;150
29.2;WIN-WIN VARIETY;150
29.3;IRRATIONAL INTERNATIONAL BEHAVIOR;151
29.4;MISPERCEPTION AND DISSONANCE;153
29.5;HOW TO CHANGE;153
29.6;CONCLUSION;155
30;SUMMARY;156
31;AUTHOR INDEX;158