Bradbury / Downs / Small Futures for a Declining City

Simulations for the Cleveland Area
1. Auflage 2013
ISBN: 978-1-4832-5817-1
Verlag: Elsevier Science & Techn.
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 262 Seiten, Web PDF

Futures for a Declining City: Simulations for the Cleveland Area discusses the processes associated with decrease in urban population or 'urban decline and other measures of urban size or function. This book describes the case study that analyzes what will happen to a declining metropolitan area and its central city if current trends on urban decline continue, and how that outcome might be affected by various policies designed to counteract further loss. This case study focuses on the Cleveland Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) and its central city, Cleveland. The likely future course of urban decline acquired through quantitative estimates and methodologies for comparing policies is also covered in this text. This publication is aimed primarily at economists, urban planners, and political scientists, including those who formulate policies affecting declining urban areas.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Bradbury, Katharine L.

Downs, Anthony

Small, Kenneth A.

Mills, Edwin S.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Front Cover;1
2;Futures for a Declining City: Simulations for the Cleveland Area;4
3;Copyright Page;5
4;Table of Contents;8
5;Dedication;6
6;Preface;12
7;CHAPTER
1. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY;16
7.1;The Nature of This Study;16
7.2;The Key Urban Variables Used;19
7.3;The Specific Policy Packages Analyzed;21
7.4;Findings Concerning the Continuation of Present Trends (The Base Case);22
7.5;Findings Concerning Alternative Futures for the Cleveland SMSA;28
7.6;Findings Concerning City Revitalization Policies in General;30
8;CHAPTER
2. CONTINUATION OF PRESENT TRENDS AND POLICIES—THE BASE CASE;32
8.1;Concept;32
8.2;Employment, Population, and Income;33
8.3;Housing and Household Developments;43
8.4;Fiscal Factors;59
8.5;Transportation;79
9;CHAPTER
3. THE ANALYSIS OF FUTURE POLICY CHANGES;88
9.1;Introduction;88
9.2;Impacts on Location of Employers;92
9.3;Impacts on Location of Households;97
9.4;Secondary Impacts;98
9.5;Fiscal Impacts;112
9.6;Transportation Impacts;115
10;CHAPTER
4. A JOB STIMULUS PACKAGE;116
10.1;Concept;116
10.2;Policies;116
10.3;Results;119
10.4;Two Variants: Income Transfers and Jobs Targeted to City Residents;120
11;CHAPTER
5. A HOUSING REHABILITATION PACKAGE;124
11.1;Concept;124
11.2;Policies;124
11.3;Impacts;126
11.4;Housing Tables;132
11.5;Other Changes from the Base Case;135
11.6;Implications;135
12;CHAPTER
6. A TRANSIT IMPROVEMENT PACKAGE;138
12.1;Concept;138
12.2;Policies;138
12.3;Methodology;140
12.4;Results;145
12.5;In-City Variant;145
12.6;Conclusions;147
13;CHAPTER
7. A FISCAL EQUALIZATION PACKAGE;148
13.1;Concept;148
13.2;Policies and Immediate Fiscal Effects;149
13.3;Location Response to Fiscal Equalization;156
13.4;Additional Fiscal Effects;158
13.5;Summary;159
14;CHAPTER
8. A SUBURBAN GROWTH CONTROL PACKAGE;160
14.1;Concept;160
14.2;Policies;161
14.3;Impacts;162
14.4;Housing Tables;165
14.5;Other Changes from the Base Case;166
14.6;Implications;166
15;CHAPTER
9. THE IMPACT OF AN ALL-OUT REVITALIZATION STRATEGY AND COMPARISONS AMONG THE POLICY PACKAGES;170
15.1;The All-Out Revitalization Package and Its Impacts;170
15.2;Comparison and Interpretation of Policy Packages;177
15.3;Sensitivity to Secondary Effects Assumptions;186
16;CHAPTER
10. ENERGY SCARCITY SCENARIOS;190
16.1;Adjustment Mechanisms;191
16.2;High-Cost Scenario;196
16.3;Severe Shortage Scenario;207
16.4;Conclusion;211
17;CHAPTER
11. RECOMMENDATIONS;214
18;APPENDIX A: COMPUTATION OF SECONDARY EFFECTS AND TRANSPORTATION VARIABLES;220
19;APPENDIX B: DETAILED PROJECTIONS AND RESULTS;230
20;APPENDIX C: ACRONYMS;254
21;Index;256