Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk

A Machine Learning Approach
2012
ISBN: 978-1-4614-3084-1
Verlag: Springer

Buch, Englisch, 115 Seiten, Format (B × H): 155 mm x 235 mm, Gewicht: 207 g

Reihe: SpringerBriefs in Computer Science

Machine learning and nonparametric function estimation procedures can be effectively used in forecasting. One important and current application is used to make forecasts of “future dangerousness" to inform criminal justice decision. Examples include the decision to release an individual on parole, determination of the parole conditions, bail recommendations, and sentencing. Since the 1920s, "risk assessments" of various kinds have been used in parole hearings, but the current availability of large administrative data bases, inexpensive computing power, and developments in statistics and computer science have increased their accuracy and applicability.

In this book, these developments are considered with particular emphasis on the statistical and computer science tools, under the rubric of supervised learning, that can dramatically improve these kinds of forecasts in criminal justice settings. The intended audience is researchers in the social sciences and data analysts in criminal justice agencies.

Zielgruppe

Research

Autoren/Hrsg.

Berk, Richard

Fachgebiete

• Rechtswissenschaften Strafrecht Kriminologie, Strafverfolgung
• Mathematik | Informatik EDV | Informatik Informatik Künstliche Intelligenz Maschinelles Lernen
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Datenanalyse, Datenverarbeitung
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Risikobewertung, Risikotheorie

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Getting Started.- Some Important Background Material.- A Conceptual Introduction to Classification and Forecasting.- A More Formal Treatment of Classification and Forecasting.- Tree-Based Forecasting Methods.- Examples.- Implementation.- Some Concluding Observations About Actuarial Justice and More.- References.