Long-term Energy Demand in the German Residential Sector

Development of an Integrated Modelling Concept to Capture Technological Myopia
1. Auflage 2016
ISBN: 978-3-8487-2631-8
Verlag: Nomos

Buch, Englisch, 338 Seiten, broschiert, Format (B × H): 153 mm x 227 mm, Gewicht: 497 g

This thesis deals with the topic of how technological knowledge declines over time and the resulting limitations of techno-economic energy demand models in anticipating future demand for energy in the long-term. Since this is a principle limitation of ex ante analyses, this deficiency has been discussed for some time, but so far no methodological solution has been developed. The study is the first to develop a concept that draws on a broad methodological basis from different scientific disciplines (energy modelling and innovation economics) to address this limitation. Applying the concept developed to a practical question ? energy scenarios for the German household sector until 2050 ? shows that integrating the decline in technological knowledge into answering it leads to interesting new insights.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Elsland, Rainer

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Wirtschaftssektoren & Branchen Energie- & Versorgungswirtschaft
• Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Regierungspolitik Kultur-, Wissenschafts- & Technologiepolitik
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Industrie- und Technologiepolitik
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Wirtschaftssektoren & Branchen Immobilienwirtschaft