Dow | Major Recessions | Buch | 978-0-19-924123-1 | sack.de

Buch, Englisch, 492 Seiten, Format (B × H): 156 mm x 234 mm, Gewicht: 740 g

Dow

Major Recessions

Britain and the World, 1920-1995

Buch, Englisch, 492 Seiten, Format (B × H): 156 mm x 234 mm, Gewicht: 740 g

ISBN: 978-0-19-924123-1
Verlag: OUP Oxford


In the twentieth century there have been five major recessions: two in the interwar period, and three more starting 1973, 1979, and 1989. This book focuses on events in the UK, but sets them in their international context and makes frequent comparisons with other countries. Major recessions happened at a similar time in all major countries, and the lessons are general.

Three main conclusions are reached: (1) major recessions reflect abrupt fallings off in demand, not supply; (2) these are due to identifiable demand shocks and by swings in consumer and business confidence which amplify the direct effects of demand shock; (3) major recessions are not predictable.

In the final chapter, Christopher Dow puts forward an insider's view on how to avoid future severe recessions: action must be taken to control booms, which if uncontrolled will lead to a period of bust, and once a major recession has begun, fiscal and monetary policy must be adjusted to mitigate the downturn. Often unpopular with economists, this is the line which many governments and central banks take: Major Recessions will help them to have more success.
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Before his death in 1998, Christopher Dow was Visiting Fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR). His distinguished career included periods as Senior Economic Adviser to the UK Treasury, Deputy Director of NIESR, Assistant Secretary General of OECD, and Executive Director of the Bank of England.


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